Real Estate New York

Market Update July 2009
6 Months Left to Use $8,000 First Time Buyer Grant information

NY Housing Market Posts Monthly Sales Gain in May

The New York State housing market posted sales gains for the third consecutive month, with an 11-percent increase in sales of existing single-family homes in May compared to April.

The statewide median selling price of $189,000 in May was 1.9 percent higher than the $185,400 median recorded in April 2009, according to preliminary single-family sales data accumulated by NYSAR. To access complete May statistics, click here

Nationally, single-family home sales rose 1.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.25 million in May from a pace of 4.17 million in April. The median existing single-family home price was $172,900 in May, down 16.1 percent from a year ago. To access complete national statistics, click here .

See also: Home-Price Declines in 20 U.S. Cities Eased in April

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Seeking Home Sales' Bright Side

Housing market is up -- or down -- depending on measurement used

Let's consider two ways of measuring the Capital Region's housing market.

There's the traditional way -- comparing recent statistics to prior years. And by that method, the numbers released Tuesday by the Greater Capital Association of Realtors Inc. would depress even the most optimistic of real estate agents.

They show that closed sales in May were down 30 percent from a year ago. In Rensselaer County, which posted the most severe drop, they fell 55 percent.

But let's also measure May's numbers against what Realtors say were the market's worst days -- in the winter. Using that method, sales and median prices are on the rise.

In January, for example, local buyers closed on 387 homes and paid a median price of $171,700. In May, there were 554 closed sales at a median of $191,900.

As far as Realtors are concerned, those numbers provide evidence of brighter days. "Certainly it's not the best market we've ever seen," said James Ader, chief executive of GCAR, a Colonie-based trade group. "But it's an improving market."

Yet home-sale numbers almost always climb as the weather warms. Home buyers are like hibernating bears: They become alert in the spring.

And if you've visited an open house in recent months, you know that some are drawing significant traffic from browsers who seem interested in more than free cookies.

"The feeling is that when buyers become confident that their jobs are secure our market will pick up rapidly," said Sandra Nardoci, GCAR president and an agent at Prudential Manor Homes in Latham. "Until then, we have to remind sellers to be patient."

Folks who aren't buying or selling a home -- and have no plans to do so anytime soon -- can be forgiven for asking why they should care about the housing market. Why does it really matter?

But economists say housing sales have a broad impact, influencing tax rates, construction jobs and more.

"The status of the housing market is a sign of the general health of the economy," said Michael Jerison, an economics professor at the University at Albany.

National numbers released Tuesday seem to say little that's good about the economy, offering scant evidence that a recovery is under way.

The National Association of Realtors reported home sales rose 2.4 percent in May, but about one of every three homes sold was a foreclosure or distressed sale. Those sales had an effect on the national median price, which fell 16.8 percent from a year ago.

Locally, Realtors said the housing market is strong for homes priced below $200,000; so-so for homes priced between $200,000 and $300,000; and weak for more expensive houses.

Eric Dahl, managing director at the nonprofit Community Realty in Albany, said the distinctions can surprise buyers and sellers who assume the market is slow, but then find steep competition for modestly priced homes. He knows of two houses, one in Albany and one in Guilderland -- each priced at about $140,000 -- that went up for sale on Friday, but have already sold.

Read more from: The Albany Times Union June 24th by CHRIS CHURCHILL

See also: Market Stats for June

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Architecture Coach: Tips for Hiring an Architect

Sometimes a home is just right
except for a few details.

Despite the notion that hiring an architect—even one without star billing—may be too pricey, it needn't be, particularly in a down economy. The best way for home owners to find a good match is to look in their own backyard at the residential designs all around them.

Often a drive through neighborhoods is an easy way to find homes that have the most appeal. Simply ask which architects built the homes they like. They can call their local chapter of the American Institute of Architects (AIA) for members' names who specialize in residential design and then ask to see their portfolios. Suggest they inquire at architecture schools, which know about area architects. Also, ask contractors and designers for suggestions.

Home owners should also glance through architecture books and magazines to see what they like—perhaps a sweeping front porch, weathered cedar siding, use of colors, or building materials. Encourage them further to consider the environmental and social effects of the architects' work, says architect Andres Duany, co-founder with his wife Elizabeth Plater-Zyberk of the Miami-based firm, Duany Plater-Zyberk & Company (DPZ).

Architect Richard Landry, president of the Landry Design Group in Los Angeles, which works on classical and contemporary homes, likes to see examples of what architectural styles appeal to potential clients, whether Modernism or period designs such as a chateau from France's Loire Valley. He, in turn, points out the telling details that his firm tries to recreate in its architecture.

Home owners should give careful consideration to how each architect charges. Some architects bill a flat fee for design work, others an hourly fee, and still others a percentage of the total cost.

Architect Marc B. Spector, principal of the Spector Group in New York, says that architects can save home owners money and delivery time since most show up at the site throughout the project.

Finally, choose an architect whose goal is to create a work that suits the client's physical and visual needs rather than just provides them an exact replica or poor imitation of another architect's designs. Many of the best examples from today's masters—who've won the Pritzker or Driehaus prizes or other architectural awards—can lead the way.

By Barbara Ballinger

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Buying a Home: Guide to Getting Started


Buying a Home Step-by-Step

Let's say one morning you wake up and realize that, yes, buying a home is the right thing to do for yourself.. You're tired of throwing away money on rent and figure that it's time to get into a home of your own. But you have reservations.

After all, if it's your first time, you've got questions. You might be a little nervous that you'll mess up, and it's normal to feel that way. You are probably spending hundreds of thousands of dollars and making the most important financial purchase of your life.

You will find that being an informed individual about the home buying process is empowering for you. Lucky for you that you came to the right place. So let's get started buying your first home!

Consider if Buying a Home is For You

Many people harbor secrets fears about buying a home, and some of those fears are justified. Not everybody is cut out to own a home, and if you're one of those people, it's better to find this out now than when you're under contract.

  • Renting vs. Buying .
    You might decide that renting is better for you than buying, because buying a home has its drawbacks.

  • Reasons to Buy .
    On the other side of the coin, there are many more benefits to buying. Keep these reasons in mind if you start to get cold feet.

  • Should You Buy a Home Before Getting Married?
    Tips for home buying with a partner or significant other before tying the knot, plus how to handle the financial details of homeownership without plans to ever marry.

Before Buying a Home, Get Your Finances In Order

Line up your financing, set aside a down payment and study the loan programs available. By doing your homework, you will know exactly how much you can pay and what it will cost you.

  • Order a Free Credit Report .
    Give yourself time to clean up a credit report that contains mistakes. Dispute errors. Try to reduce your monthly debt obligations now by paying down those loan balances.

  • Find a Lender.
    Check out places to get a mortgage and compare rates and fees. Start with your own financial institution, then interview a few mortgage brokers and choose a loan product you completely understand.

  • Determine a Down Payment .
    The more you put down, the lower your monthly mortgage payment. Here are 12 places to find a down payment.

  • Consider FHA Loans .
    FHA loans carry competitive interest rates, come with minimum down payment requirements and allow sellers to pay some or all of your closing costs.

  • Get a Preapproval Letter .
    Showing the seller you are already preapproved for a loan gives you an edge during offer negotiation.

read more by Elizabeth Weintraub

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Study: Albany endures recession better than most

The Albany region has endured the recession better than most of the country, avoiding massive job losses and declining housing prices that are crippling other metropolitan areas.

The Capital Region unemployment rate increased 2.3 percent between March 2008 and 2009, outperforming all but 10 of the 100 largest metro areas in the country, according to a new report by the Brookings Institution , a Washington D.C.-based public policy group.

Albany and fellow upstate cities Syracuse and Rochester were among the 38 metro areas where housing prices increased between the first quarter of 2008 and 2009.

The three cities avoided the steep decline in prices that have devastated the real estate markets in eight California and five Florida metropolitan markets.

“We are all sensitive to the big problems in the housing and auto sectors,” said Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief investment officer at Johnson Illington Advisors in Albany.

“It's the boom-bust issue. Where there was a boom, there was a bust,” he said.

Most of upstate has avoided the highs and lows that Las Vegas, California and Florida did, Johnson said.

“As a whole, New York fits into a distinct niche of Mid-Atlantic states that have weathered the recession surprisingly well,” said James Booker, a Siena College economics professor.

Click to read more from the Albany Business Review

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September is National Preparedness Month

The U.S. Department of Homeland Security has designated September as National Preparedness Month. This provides us an opportunity to educate ourselves, families and communities members about emergency preparedness, including natural disasters and potential terrorist events. Emergency preparedness is a tremendous and challenging undertaking that requires every member of the community to play a role. In support of this effort the Albany County Department of Health encourages Albany County residents to take some simple steps to prepare for emergencies including:

Create a Go Kit – Create a kit of emergency supplies that will allow you and your family to survive for at least three days in the event an emergency happens. The kit should include basic items like water, food, battery-powered radio, flashlight and a first aid kit.

Make a Plan - Plan in advance what you and your family will do in an emergency. Your plan should include a communications plan for reaching family members and address sheltering-in-place at home for extended periods of time and evacuation. For a FREE family preparedness planning kit, contact the Albany County Department of Health at (518) 447-2057 or MRC@albanycounty.com .

Be Informed - Learn more about different threats that could affect your community and appropriate responses to them.

Get Involved – Join the Albany County Medical Reserve Corp (MRC). Albany County is actively recruiting medical and non-medical volunteers to assist the county in the event of a public health emergency. Register online at www.albanycounty.com by clicking on the MRC logo or call (518) 447-4633.

Download Free Family Emergency Plan and Preparing Makes Sense pamphlets

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Mortgage Rates and Trends

The link to up to the minute New York State mortgage information seems to work better than presenting the actual graph.

Click for up to the minute mortgage rate information

Buyers' versus Sellers' Market Report

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The graph above shows the number of sales in a given month divided by the number of homes on the market in the four main counties of the Capital Region. With a substantial increase in sales numbers for June, the market is vectored towards a seller's market that we have not seen since last July.

June's sales figures show a continued reversal of direction into neutral or seller's market after touching into uncharted buyer territory in February.

*This ratio can be used to determine whether we are in a buyers' or sellers' market as indicated in Dennis Maier's article on Market Timing featured in eZine Real Estate. In general, if it would (theoretically) take less than 6 1/2 months to sell the current inventory it's a sellers' market. If it would take more than 9 months to sell all the homes on the market it's a buyers' market.

Market Statistics as of July 1, 2009

Average Sale & List Prices for Albany, Schenectady, Rensselaer, Saratoga Counties

The average list and sale prices for the month of June 2009 show an increase in both average list and sale prices, as is typical for this time of year. However, both the list prices and sale prices remain below levels seen in past years.

The average asking price to sale price has risen slightly from 96.09% in May to 96.97% for June. The number of sales at 573 is significantly up.

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Mortgage Rates and Trends

The link to up to the minute New York State mortgage information seems to work better than presenting the actual graph.

Click for up to the minute mortgage rate information

Home-Price Declines in 20 U.S. Cities Eased in April

Yale University economist Robert Shiller sees a “striking improvement” in the rate of decline in the housing market.

“the declines are over.”

June 30 (Bloomberg) -- Home prices in 20 major U.S. metropolitan areas fell in April at a slower pace than forecast, a sign the plunge in real-estate values is abating.

The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index decreased 18.1 percent from a year earlier following an 18.7 percent drop in March. The measure declined 19 percent in January, the most since the data began in 2001.

Price declines are likely to keep moderating as demand steadies and distressed properties account for a smaller share of transactions. Still, the highest jobless rate in 25 years is contributing to record foreclosures, which are likely to keep depressing values for months to come even as home sales steady.

“It is looking a little bit better,” said Mark Vitner , a senior economist at Wachovia Corp. in Charlotte, North Carolina. “The largest declines are probably past. When prices stop falling the erosion in household wealth will come to an end.”

Eight of the 20 cities showed an increase in prices from March, the most in almost a year, led by a 1.7 percent gain in Dallas. The 20-city measure was down 0.6 percent in April from the prior month, the best performance since June 2008.

The home-price index figures aren't adjusted for seasonal effects so economists prefer to focus on year-over-year changes instead of month-to-month.

“While one month's data cannot determine if a turnaround has begun, it seems that some stabilization may be appearing in some of the regions,” David Blitzer , chairman of the S&P index committee, said in a statement.

Yale University economist Robert Shiller , who co-founded the index, said in an interview with Bloomberg Radio that he sees a “striking improvement” in the rate of decline in the U.S. housing market. He also noted that one measure of investors' outlook for house prices indicate “the declines are over.”

Read More:

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Archives

http://RENY.netWe've been asked to again include links to past market updates. But since our stories link to other web sites over which we have no control we only want to link to our most recent issues. Otherwise, the article links may fail to work as they once did.

 

Not Getting First Look Listings?

A number of people have told us that our First Look listings have stopped arriving in their email box.

Most often this is caused by the clients spam filter stopping the email listing from arriving.

Usually this can be remedied by including: Email@ParagonMessaging.com as a Safe Sender or white listing the above email address as safe. If help is needed to do this you may contact:


Dennis Maier
518-312-4030 extension #1 or 888-749-3384 toll free

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We hope you have enjoyed this month's Market Update. If you have any comments, questions, or suggestions on topics you would like to see covered please email them to Dennis J. Maier Principal Realtor Broker Real Estate New York at DennisM@RENY.net